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Claude 5 released by…?
May 31, 2026
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
April 30, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
June 30, 2026
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
$2k Vol.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
64%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$2k Vol.
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$516 Vol.
Daily
Brazil Presidential Election
Aldo Rebelo
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Camilo Santana
Geraldo Alckmin
Tarcisio de Freitas
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Ratinho Júnior
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Michelle Bolsonaro
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Eduardo Leite
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Renan Santos
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
Jair Bolsonaro
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Flávio Bolsonaro
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Ronaldo Caiado
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Romeu Zema
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$10k Vol.
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$935 Vol.
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
87%
Up
Up
Down
$194 Vol.
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$1k Vol.
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Atlanta Braves
99%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
atl
atl
laa
laa
$50 Vol.
·
Sports
·
Apr 8 1:38 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: March
59%
Nothing
Nothing
Something
$4k Vol.
Monthly
GPT-5.5 released by...?
June 30
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
April 30
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
$1k Vol.
US bank failure by June 30?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Monthly
Gloucester
45%
Exeter Chiefs
54%
glo
glo
DRAW
exe
exe
$0 Vol.
·
Sports
·
Apr 26 2:30 PM
New Pro Football CBA agreed before the 2027-28 season?
44%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?
630-640b
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
600-610b
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
650-660b
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
660-670b
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
640-650b
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
670b+
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
620-630b
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
610-620b
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
<600b
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$0 Vol.
Monthly
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
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